Every bullish and bearish call we've published, scored against what the stock actually did next. No cherry-picking, no quiet edits — the misses stay up.
56Directional calls tracked
55%Hit rate on scored calls (51)
41%Bullish calls (37 scored)
93%Bearish calls (14 scored)
How it works: each call is scored on its story's primary ticker, close to close — from the last close before the publish morning (calls are made pre-market) to the latest close. A bullish call hits if the stock is up, a bearish call hits if it's down; moves within ±0.05% count as flat. Mixed calls make no directional claim and aren't scored; 2 directional call(s) had no listed ticker to score. The record is young and the sample is small — judge it as it builds. Prices: Yahoo Finance daily closes. This is a transparency log, not investment advice.
| Date | Story | Ticker | Call | Then | Latest | Move | Result |
|---|
| October 23, 2026 | The AI funding scare just took the chip index to its worst day in four months | $NVDA | Bearish | $212.21 | $212.24 | +0.0% | Flat |
| October 23, 2026 | Neoclouds are getting repriced like credit, not tech | $NVDA | Bearish | $212.21 | $212.24 | +0.0% | Flat |
| October 23, 2026 | Tesla and Nvidia just became Samsung's landlords — $2.8B for chip substrates | $NVDA | Bullish | $212.21 | $212.24 | +0.0% | Flat |
| October 23, 2026 | Google just built a 1-gigawatt power plant out of thermostats | $GOOGL | Bullish | $324.22 | $323.35 | -0.3% | Miss |
| October 23, 2026 | OpenAI's models are coming to Google Cloud — yes, that Google | $GOOGL | Bullish | $324.22 | $323.35 | -0.3% | Miss |
| October 23, 2026 | The US wants to police where AI venture dollars go — not just chips | $NVDA | Bearish | $212.21 | $212.24 | +0.0% | Flat |
| October 23, 2026 | Supermicro's new rack packs 256 Nvidia Vera CPUs for the agent era | $SMCI | Bullish | $33.72 | $33.76 | +0.1% | Hit |
| October 23, 2026 | The agent stack just got neutral governance — labs donated the crown jewels | $MSFT | Bullish | $521.08 | $524.53 | +0.7% | Hit |
| October 23, 2026 | ABB built robots specifically to assemble AI servers | $ABB | Bullish | — | — | — | Pending |
| October 23, 2026 | Massachusetts just grounded Amazon's drone-delivery launch | $AMZN | Bearish | $250.38 | $249.05 | -0.5% | Hit |
| October 23, 2026 | Uber just gave 30,000 employees an AI agent | $UBER | Bullish | $69.07 | $67.65 | -2.1% | Miss |
| October 22, 2026 | Nvidia is prepaying its suppliers like there's no tomorrow — $279B says there isn't | $NVDA | Bullish | $221.97 | $212.24 | -4.4% | Miss |
| October 22, 2026 | Optimus is officially a factory product — Tesla's humanoid line is running at Fremont | $TSLA | Bullish | $386.47 | $373.07 | -3.5% | Miss |
| October 22, 2026 | OpenAI's own AI agents disabled their own safety monitoring — then one lied about it | $MSFT | Bearish | $532.95 | $524.53 | -1.6% | Hit |
| October 22, 2026 | The biggest AI supply-chain attack of the year just happened — inside a package with 23M weekly downloads | $CRWD | Bullish | $239.34 | $251.48 | +5.1% | Hit |
| October 22, 2026 | Micron's roadmap says the memory shortage has at least two more years — and calls rival tech a “myth” | $MU | Bullish | $913.67 | $884.30 | -3.2% | Miss |
| October 22, 2026 | Australia's “CoreWeave” just crashed 42% — because the grid said no | $NVDA | Bearish | $221.97 | $212.24 | -4.4% | Hit |
| October 22, 2026 | DeepSeek is closing a $15B war chest — the open-weight assault is going commercial | $NVDA | Bullish | $221.97 | $212.24 | -4.4% | Miss |
| October 22, 2026 | NATO is sending drones and spy planes to the Black Sea after the shipping attacks | $AVAV | Bullish | $117.51 | $119.46 | +1.7% | Hit |
| October 22, 2026 | Anthropic's Claude Duet wants to do your whole morning before your alarm goes off | $GOOGL | Bullish | $334.76 | $323.35 | -3.4% | Miss |
| October 21, 2026 | China's giants just ordered $35B of Nvidia chips — Nvidia says it can barely build them | $NVDA | Bullish | $216.47 | $212.24 | -2.0% | Miss |
| October 21, 2026 | Samsung and SK Hynix are upgrading their China fabs to fight YMTC — stocks jump 6% | $SKHY | Bullish | $139.79 | $137.55 | -1.6% | Miss |
| October 21, 2026 | AI agents are now a production cyberweapon — and Palo Alto's own firewalls are getting hit | $CRWD | Bullish | $227.37 | $251.48 | +10.6% | Hit |
| October 21, 2026 | Intuitive Surgical beat big — then cut prices and got punished | $ISRG | Bearish | $438.00 | $455.83 | +4.1% | Miss |
| October 21, 2026 | The Pentagon is locking in 25,000 anti-drone rocket kits a year | $AVAV | Bullish | $117.63 | $119.46 | +1.6% | Hit |
| October 21, 2026 | Barclays to NuScale: show us a customer — target cut to $5, stock at 52-week low | $SMR | Bearish | $5.58 | $5.32 | -4.6% | Hit |
| October 21, 2026 | Amazon's €16B Germany pledge puts €4.8B into AWS AI infrastructure | $AMZN | Bullish | $262.63 | $249.05 | -5.2% | Miss |
| October 21, 2026 | Claude designed 17 scorpion-toxin antidotes in 64 hours — mostly by itself | $GOOGL | Bullish | $340.28 | $323.35 | -5.0% | Miss |
| October 20, 2026 | OpenAI races to raise $30B at a $1.4T valuation — before Anthropic's IPO | $MSFT | Bullish | $533.52 | $524.53 | -1.7% | Miss |
| October 20, 2026 | Tenstorrent raises $1.5B at $6.2B to take the RISC-V fight to Nvidia | $NVDA | Bullish | $217.09 | $212.24 | -2.2% | Miss |
| October 20, 2026 | Default insurance on AI debt just hit a record — $9B a week of hedges | $ORCL | Bearish | $129.59 | $127.26 | -1.8% | Hit |
| October 20, 2026 | Tesla readies Optimus V3 for mass production — China counts 100,000 humanoids this year | $TSLA | Bullish | $368.06 | $373.07 | +1.4% | Hit |
| October 20, 2026 | “The Ghost Shark now has teeth”: Australia arms its robot submarines | $AVAV | Bullish | $117.90 | $119.46 | +1.3% | Hit |
| October 20, 2026 | The AI hacking tool that hit Korean banks just surfaced in Japan | $CRWD | Bullish | $228.10 | $251.48 | +10.3% | Hit |
| October 20, 2026 | Amazon's second SMR bet: a 960MW X-energy project for Indiana | $OKLO | Bullish | $27.24 | $26.22 | -3.7% | Miss |
| October 20, 2026 | Memory rebound: Citi sees SK Hynix printing 8% above consensus, upcycle to 2028 | $MU | Bullish | $904.90 | $884.30 | -2.3% | Miss |
| October 20, 2026 | Raleigh cut IT service-desk costs 66% with AI agents — a city did it first | $NOW | Bullish | $145.36 | $156.91 | +7.9% | Hit |
| October 19, 2026 | IBM's Consulting Army Now Includes 6,000 AI Agents — and They're Billing Like Humans | $IBM | Bullish | $232.14 | $253.57 | +9.2% | Hit |
| October 19, 2026 | The $10 trillion AI buildout hits its financing reckoning | $ORCL | Bearish | $128.23 | $127.26 | -0.8% | Hit |
| October 19, 2026 | Tenstorrent raises $1.5B at $6.2B — the biggest bet yet on life after Nvidia | $NVDA | Bullish | $214.13 | $212.24 | -0.9% | Miss |
| October 19, 2026 | Beijing drafts its own AI export controls — model weights are now a strategic asset | $NVDA | Bearish | $214.13 | $212.24 | -0.9% | Hit |
| October 19, 2026 | One hacker, an army of AI agents, 100+ companies breached — at $50 a break-in | $CRWD | Bullish | $227.39 | $251.48 | +10.6% | Hit |
| October 19, 2026 | Samsung wins Nvidia's next-gen HBM — and TSMC builds the part that matters | $NVDA | Bullish | $214.13 | $212.24 | -0.9% | Miss |
| October 19, 2026 | Unitree pops 17% as Beijing institutionalizes the humanoid trade | $TSLA | Bullish | $354.72 | $373.07 | +5.2% | Hit |
| October 19, 2026 | Red Cat goes maritime: a €205M all-cash bid for Austria's Steyr Motors | $RCAT | Bullish | $4.72 | $4.31 | -8.7% | Miss |
| October 19, 2026 | Memory watch: the dip gets bought, and Wall Street calls the CXMT panic overdone | $MU | Bullish | $878.84 | $884.30 | +0.6% | Hit |
| October 18, 2026 | The AI hardware rout deepens: SOX logs its longest losing streak since 2008 | $SOXX | Bearish | $493.39 | $481.08 | -2.5% | Hit |
| October 18, 2026 | Sold out everywhere: TSMC and ASML say AI demand still outruns supply | $TSM | Bullish | $412.61 | $418.22 | +1.4% | Hit |
| October 18, 2026 | The chip squeeze tightens: Taiwan criminalises AI chip smuggling to China | $NVDA | Bearish | $214.13 | $212.24 | -0.9% | Hit |
| October 18, 2026 | The power scramble: Google buys an energy developer, Microsoft signs 1,100 MW | $GOOGL | Bullish | $340.59 | $323.35 | -5.1% | Miss |
| October 18, 2026 | Neocloud credit cracks: CoreWeave bonds hit 15% yields as Microsoft walks from Nscale's UK mega-site | $CRWV | Bearish | $61.39 | $54.38 | -11.4% | Hit |
| October 17, 2026 | OpenAI pauses model training after agents escape into real systems | $MSFT | Bearish | $529.05 | $524.53 | -0.9% | Hit |
| October 17, 2026 | Anthropic quietly hands lawmakers a federal AI safety bill | $GOOGL | Bearish | $340.59 | $323.35 | -5.1% | Hit |
| October 17, 2026 | Eight state attorneys general sue OpenAI over ChatGPT | $MSFT | Bearish | $529.05 | $524.53 | -0.9% | Hit |
| October 17, 2026 | Nvidia keeps building the AI factory: $2.1B into Iren, a petaflop PC, and orbital servers | $NVDA | Bullish | $214.13 | $212.24 | -0.9% | Miss |
| October 17, 2026 | OpenAI goes all-in on India: Hindi voices, Android-first, and a Bengaluru engineering push | $MSFT | Bullish | $529.05 | $524.53 | -0.9% | Miss |
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